In the latest State of Southeast Asia 2024 survey conducted by the Singaporean think tank ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute, findings show a significant shift in preferences between China and the US among Southeast Asians. Out of the respondents, 50.5% expressed a preference for China over the US if compelled to choose sides, marking the first time China has surpassed the US since the inception of the annual survey in 2020.

In contrast, 49.5% of respondents indicated a preference for the US. This trend contrasts starkly with last year's survey, where only 38.9% favored China, while 61.1% leaned towards the US.

The survey, which encompassed participants from both private and public sectors, including academics and researchers, underscores the evolving geopolitical landscape and the intensifying rivalry between the two global superpowers. Malaysia emerges as the leader in Southeast Asia, with 75.1% expressing a preference for China over the US, followed by Indonesia and Laos, where 73.2% and 70.6% of respondents, respectively, leaned towards China.

The positive sentiments towards China are attributed to factors such as the Belt and Road infrastructure initiative, favorable trade relations, and significant investments in these countries. Conversely, the lack of engagement from the US, particularly under the administration of Joe Biden, is cited as a probable reason for the waning favoritism towards the country.

Despite the clear preferences shown by some nations, the survey reveals that the Southeast Asian region as a whole is reluctant to align firmly with either superpower. Only 8% of respondents view remaining neutral as impractical in the event of choosing sides. Instead, 46.8% advocate for bolstering resilience and unity to withstand pressures from both superpowers.

The survey, conducted from January 3rd to February 23rd, polled 1,994 individuals, shedding light on the shifting dynamics and nuanced perspectives within the region.